Thursday, September 18, 2014

Measure lamp post of financial burden rate (Financial Obligations Ratio) that further increase ab


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U.S. Federal Reserve last year "double on the 12th," launched the fourth round of the amount of money width (QE4), just an anniversary yesterday. From the current status of the current economic recovery in the United States, the Federal Reserve reduced the size of the monthly purchase of debt is a foregone conclusion, lamp post whether it is to take action at the end of this year or early next year, I believe it will not cause severe market volatility, but the Fed will change the interest rate indicator framework guidelines including unemployment and inflation adjustment as a further tightening of conditions, and strengthen investor confidence in the commitment of the central bank to maintain monetary lamp post easing is obviously the key to a smooth withdrawal.
U.S. Commerce Department announced last night in November retail sales, a monthly increase of 0.7%, better than market expectations. However, from the U.S. household lamp post debt over the past year changes, the development of something that did not worry. Checked the Federal Reserve Board, the United States accounted for disposable household debt-service payments to income ratio (Debt Services Ratio, DSR), down from 13.3% in the third quarter 1998 to nine percent in December 4.85, but in the second quarter of this year, the ratio has been turned around and back up to 9.89%.
Measure lamp post of financial burden rate (Financial Obligations Ratio) that further increase above the DSR car loan interest rate and property tax, the ratio increased from 15.1% in the fourth quarter rose to five hundred of the three past three p.m. four; again confirms the New York Federal Reserve Bank last month announced the third quarter of this year, "household debt and credit report," the family MoM outstanding lamp post debt increased by over one hundred and forty billion lamp post U.S. dollars, the total number is still up to $ 11.3 trillion, with two Comparison of the third quarter peak eight years, about 10% lower.
Obviously, although the monthly increase in consumer spending in October, but the income lamp post is a monthly decrease 0.1 percentage point; November payrolls report also showed that average hourly earnings rose 0.2% on a monthly basis per week, but Annual moderated to two percent. lamp post The latest in the week ended Dec. 7, the United States early jobless claims increased nearly seven million people, the end of the past three weeks down the state, seen in terms of stability of employment or consumption lamp post improvement measure, the United States in the early start delisting, reduced debt purchase size should be small, to avoid damage to the tone of the recovery.
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